Indiana Sports Betting Guide: Take The Over In Fever Home Games

Posted on June 26, 2019 - Last Updated on October 10, 2019

The Indiana Fever have been inconsistent, if anything, so far in 2019.

This Indiana sports betting guide highlights where the Fever are dependable.

Indiana is one of the least successful defensive teams in the WNBA this year. That inability to stop opponents from scoring is especially pronounced in home games.

Indiana sports betting guide looks at Fever

The Fever are 10th out of 12 teams in defensive rating through Tuesday, June 25. Part of that is due to opponents often getting second chances, as Indiana has the second-worst defensive rebound percentage in the league.

Because of the defensive struggles, the Fever are 2-3 at home so far this season. The scores in those five games have varied wildly:

  • June 1 vs. New York, 92-77 win
  • June 7 vs. Dallas, 79-64 win
  • June 9 vs. Phoenix, 94-87 loss
  • June 11 vs. Seattle, 84-82 loss
  • June 15 vs. Chicago, 70-64 loss

In three of those five contests, the total has gone over. That’s partially because Indiana has been nearly as effective offensively as it has been ineffective on the defensive end.

The Fever offense has been hot

Indiana ranks second in the league in offensive rating. The Fever have been the best team in the league at hitting midrange shots, with 23.5% of Indiana’s points coming from such attempts.

Indiana ranks in the top five in the league in fast-break and second-chance points. That’s led to having five players averaging double figures in scoring.

Guard Erica Wheeler’s stat line is a great example of Indiana’s season. She is shooting over 50% from the field, including over 47% from 3-point range. At the same time, she’s averaging more turnovers per game (3.3) than rebounds (2.4) or steals (1.0).

While Indiana has been effective offensively at home and away, the Fever have surprisingly been better defensively on the road.

Indiana limiting teams on the road

The Fever are an even 3-3 in road games, so far, this season. The most points they have allowed in road games is 80.

Indiana has held its last two opponents under 70 points. Both of those contests were road games.

Oddsmakers have still been underestimating the totals in games where the Fever are the road team. The totals in three of the six games have gone over.

For bettors, the results in Indiana home games have been much more dependable.

Indiana’s home woes go back further

Indiana has gone 4-21 in its last 25 home games, including 3-12 against the spread in its last 15 home games. In four of the last six home games, the total has gone over.

In the 2018 season, the Fever allowed at least 82 points in 14 of 17 games, or 82.4%. Nine members of the team are still playing for the Fever this year, including four of Indiana’s five starters.

It’s uncertain how quickly Indiana will roll out legal sports betting. If the action goes live before the end of the current WNBA season, the smart money will be on the road teams and the over when the Indiana Fever are playing at home. Inside Bankers Life Fieldhouse, they score and get scored on at will.

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Derek Helling

Derek Helling is a freelance journalist who resides in Kansas City, Mo. He is a 2013 graduate of the University of Iowa and covers the intersections of sports with business and the law.

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